BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Estherville Lincoln Central

Class: 3A Class Rank: 58 Conference: (0-17) Overall: (2-20) Overall Strength =   65.61

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/27/2007 Away    W    61.32  54   44   1A  108 ( 1-17) Armstrong-Ringsted     -3.60     13.60                      
  2 12/07/2007 Away    L *  68.36  48   60   2A   44 (10-11) Emmetsburg              3.44    -15.44                      
  3 12/11/2007 Home    L *  77.72  39   44   3A   30 (12-11) LeMars                 12.80    -17.80                      
  4 12/15/2007 Away    L    75.37  49   67   3A    6 (24- 2) Forest City            10.45 *  -28.45                      
  5 12/18/2007 Away    L *  63.13  36   63   3A   16 (18- 6) Spirit Lake            -1.79 *  -25.21                      
  6 12/20/2007 Home    L    51.78  51   69   2A   66 (16- 8) Lake Mills            -13.14     -4.86                      
  7 12/21/2007 Away    L *  66.22  49   57   2A   65 ( 3-18) Cherokee Washington     1.30     -9.30                      
  8 01/04/2008 Home    L *  54.12  29   82   2A    1 (25- 3) Western Christian     -10.80 *  -42.20                      
  9 01/05/2008 Home    W    62.45  45   30   1A  108 ( 1-17) Armstrong-Ringsted     -2.47     17.47                      
 10 01/08/2008 Home    L *  72.20  52   59   2A   39 (12-11) Sheldon                 7.28    -14.28                      
 11 01/11/2008 Away    L *  65.62  62   75   3A   45 ( 6-16) Storm Lake              0.70    -13.70                      
 12 01/15/2008 Home    L *  65.58  46   73   3A    8 (18- 5) Spencer                 0.66 *  -27.66                      
 13 01/22/2008 Away    L *  74.59  45   57   3A   30 (12-11) LeMars                  9.67    -21.67                      
 14 01/24/2008 Home    L *  65.49  36   47   2A   44 (10-11) Emmetsburg              0.57    -11.57  was 01/18 now 01/24 
 15 02/01/2008 Home    L *  66.36  54   58   2A   65 ( 3-18) Cherokee Washington     1.44     -5.44                      
 16 02/02/2008 Away    L    53.99  51   85   EX   31 ( 1- 1) Jackson County Centr  -10.93    -23.07                      
 17 02/04/2008 Home    L *  57.26  30   59   3A   16 (18- 6) Spirit Lake            -7.66    -21.34  was 01/29 now 02/04 
 18 02/05/2008 Away    L *  63.99  37   84   2A    1 (25- 3) Western Christian      -0.93 *  -46.07                      
 19 02/08/2008 Away    L *  68.06  50   65   2A   39 (12-11) Sheldon                 3.14    -18.14                      
 20 02/12/2008 Home    L *  72.75  98  100   3A   45 ( 6-16) Storm Lake              7.83     -9.83                      
 21 02/15/2008 Away    L *  60.44  46   82   3A    8 (18- 5) Spencer                -4.48 *  -31.52                      
 22 02/18/2008 Away    L *  61.44  48   83   3A    8 (18- 5) Spencer                -3.48 *  -31.52                      
      Averages              64.92  48.0 65.6

Best game:   77.72 = 5 point loss to LeMars
Worst game:  51.78 = 18 point loss to Lake Mills
Team stdev:   7.01